Sunday, September 07, 2008

McCain cracks 50%

USA Today: "Convention lifts McCain over Obama"

The Republican National Convention has given John McCain and his party a significant boost, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend shows, as running mate Sarah Palin helps close an "enthusiasm gap" that has dogged the GOP all year.

McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican's biggest advantage since January and a turnaround from the USA TODAY poll taken just before the convention opened in St. Paul. Then, he lagged by 7 percentage points.
Nice swing. And there's more, buried near the bottom:

In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/- 3 points for both samples.
Ten points? Among likely voters? (*rubbing eyes*) I'm not sure how the USA Today/Gallup differs from the "regular" Gallup poll which has the race at a tighter 48%-45% for McCain but I think it's safe to say the Republicans had a good convention.

Extra - Kim at Wizbang has more.

Update (9/8) - The Hedgehog Report has all the latest polls; just keep scrolling down.


Anonymous said...

"Polling numbers can be misleading. Don't believe any of them... wait! Except THIS one! Whooooo!!!"

Couldn't we just skip ahead to the Weekly Reader poll and be done with this noise already?

(As for the USA Today poll, I wonder if the support of those 63 unregistered voters is solid. Or can they be swayed to the other candidate they're prohibited from voting for?)

Anonymous said...

Does the 44 percent of the sample intending to vote for Obama include the dead? I've heard most graveyards vote a straight Democratic ticket and Gallup unjustly excludes them from his sample.

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Anonymous said...

Speaking of graveyards and ghosts of the past, don't forget to skim off all the registered Democrats who'll be "mistakenly" scrubbed off the voting rolls. Must keep those voter lists tidy!

Anonymous said...

Including all those registered ex-cons. People removed from the lists vote provisionally, in Chicago, the dead also vote in perpetuity.