Monday, November 30, 2020
Saturday, November 28, 2020
Friday, November 27, 2020
Thursday, November 26, 2020
Wednesday, November 25, 2020
Tuesday, November 24, 2020
Zero corroboration? Sounds like a step up for CNN.
Newsom can receive up to $500/year in gifts from someone who’s not a registered state lobbyist.Could they get around that restriction by claiming it was Newsom’s wife who received the gift, and not the Governor? Nope. A gift to Jennifer Siebel Newsom is considered a gift to Gavin Newsom for the purposes of FPPC reporting.If someone else paid for Newsom’s dinner, the only possible way that could be done without skirting required financial disclosure rules would be if his longtime friend, the birthday boy, paid for the dinner, and if none of the lobbyist birthday boy’s clients had business currently before the state.
Monday, November 23, 2020
Sunday, November 22, 2020
"The City Council pretty much took away the ability of the NYPD to make arrests," SBA President Ed Mullins told Fox News. "We have cops out there right now that are hesitant to grab anybody simply out fear that if it goes bad we may get ourselves arrested."
Saturday, November 21, 2020
Goodbye, all. It has been a crazy four years.See you all back here the next time a Republican is president.
Friday, November 20, 2020
Wednesday, November 18, 2020
Sociologists argue that one reason that the public has perhaps become more apathetic towards media coverage about the virus because it's become too redundant and often, alarmist.
Tuesday, November 17, 2020
Monday, November 16, 2020
Criticism of Mr. Obama’s stance on press freedom, government transparency and secrecy is hotly disputed by the White House, but many journalism groups say the record is clear. Over the past eight years, the administration has prosecuted nine cases involving whistle-blowers and leakers, compared with only three by all previous administrations combined. It has repeatedly used the Espionage Act, a relic of World War I-era red-baiting, not to prosecute spies but to go after government officials who talked to journalists.Under Mr. Obama, the Justice Department and the F.B.I. have spied on reporters by monitoring their phone records, labeled one journalist an unindicted co-conspirator in a criminal case for simply doing reporting and issued subpoenas to other reporters to try to force them to reveal their sources and testify in criminal cases.
Sunday, November 15, 2020
Glenn Greenwald: "The Ongoing Death of Free Speech: Prominent ACLU Lawyer Cheers Suppression of a New Book" - "Free speech has always been more than a Constitutional guarantee: it's also a crucial societal value. And it's more imperiled than ever."
We always knew the ACLU was exactly what we thought it was. Now we know it's true.
Saturday, November 14, 2020
Thursday, November 12, 2020
Wednesday, November 11, 2020
Far more interesting here is the fact that today is the first time we’re hearing about any of these Warnock issues. Did Democrats even bother to do any due diligence before lining up behind Warnock?
If a Republican helped run a camp for children that was investigated for child abuse—and then was arrested for trying to block the investigation—the media would be asking a lot of questions.— Tom Cotton (@TomCottonAR) November 11, 2020
Tuesday, November 10, 2020
One of the most surprising results of the 2020 election was the defeat, in Illinois, of a state constitutional amendment to permit a progressive income tax. The Graduated Income Tax Amendment would have eliminated the Illinois constitutional requirement that tax rates remain flat across incomes. Its defeat is likely the most important political event for the state since I moved here 18 years ago. The proposed change in the state constitution was an effort by the dominant Democratic Party to continue its model of high taxes and high spending to support the base of its political muscle—public-sector unions. The party retains control of the legislature and the governor’s office, but it is politically cornered. Legislatively, it faces a choice between a reform agenda that would undermine its political base or a substantial tax increase on every working citizen.
Monday, November 09, 2020
Sunday, November 08, 2020
Friday, November 06, 2020
Blindsided by Trump's surprise victory [in 2016], the Times pledged to examine whether it had underestimated the depth and breadth of his support, and to rededicate itself to understanding and reflecting "all political perspectives and life experiences."As the kids say, LOL. The paper's coverage of the 2020 presidential election was not only as misleading as it was four years ago, it was misleading in the same way, overstating the odds of Democrats everywhere thanks, at least in part, to a belief in race and gender as the defining features of American politics. Identity politics has come to define the New York Times, but the country isn't so monolithic.
Thursday, November 05, 2020
The media blew this election in an even more extravagant fashion than the last one....This election is as much a repudiation of the media as it is supposed to be a wake-up call for Democrats, but neither group will actually recognize that. The GOP made gains in the House and kept the Senate. The Democratic Party is about to enter its own civil war. But the media is going to focus on the defeat of Trump as the real victory and that everything else can be ignored.And if Trump is really the loser here, that’s all they care about. They will stay inside their little bubbles and not come out for another four years… but in four years, the GOP will be on the rise again while Democrats struggle to figure out who their base is and what it wants.
We all make mistakes, and most of us try to avoid them. The problem with the unholy news-polling-social media-industrial complex is that the mistakes are so numerous and predictable that they begin to feel intentional.Worse, all the mistakes run in one direction. What are the odds of that happening honestly?
Wednesday, November 04, 2020
At this point, it's looking likely that Sleepy Joe will eke out a victory with the barest of margins in the electoral college. This was a huge surprise among the A+ pollsters who consistently overestimated Biden's support in all the battleground states.
In the House, the Cook Political Report predicted:
We now view a Democratic net gain of 10 to 15 seats as the likeliest outcome, with anything from five to 20 seats well within the realm of possibility.
End result as of this writing? The Republicans have picked up +5 seats in the House and moderate Democrats are talking about replacing Nancy Pelosi.
How about the Senate?
Democrats remain the clear favorites to take back the Senate with just days to go until Election Day.
Oh, do tell. At this writing, the Democrats are at +1 and they might pick up another, to keep Chuck Schumer as minority leader. But I understand: until a week before election day, Joni Ernst in Iowa was consistently trailing behind Theresa Greenfield. In North Carolina, Thom Tillis had been trailing in every poll since October 22nd. Then there's the Maine Senate race where incumbent Susan Collins hasn't been above water since February, has been trailing in fundraising, and has been left for dead...before winning by eight percentage points.
Pollster Frank Luntz had the decency to point out the obvious:
"The political polling profession is done," leading Republican pollster Frank Luntz tells Axios. "It is devastating for my industry."
How did we get to this state where polling is nearly meaningless? Well, I would say it's because a large portion of America sees the inherent bias in the mainstream media and says "no thanks."
Now we're in a death spiral where nobody believes the media and therefore people hide their true feelings, resulting in completely bogus polls, which hurts the credibility of the media. Rinse and repeat.
After Trump's surprising win in 2016, the media swore they would do better to understand the concerns of people who don't go to Zabar's for bagels. Maybe find somebody who owns a pickup truck. But no, they pour the contempt on middle America and middle America pours their contempt right back.
Corrupt media pollsters never cared about getting the results right. They were paid to get the narrative right. https://t.co/nUPYHRHius— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) November 4, 2020
Tuesday, November 03, 2020
I voted, for what that's worth in The People's Republic of Massachusetts.
This is a crazy year, so who knows what's going to happen. But the Real Clear Politics average shows that Biden has a +2.3% advantage in the battleground states. Just for comparison, Hillary went into election day with a +1.1% advantage over Trump.
In 2016, Hillary had a +6.5% aggregate lead in Wisconsin; Biden has a +6.7% lead. Hillary led by +1.9% in Pennsylvania; Biden leads by 1.2%.
So if we see a repeat of the "shy Trump" voter surge, it could be deja vu all over again.
Monday, November 02, 2020
Sunday, November 01, 2020
Just a stray observation: I had no idea daylight savings time ended last night. And, frankly, I might have kept on not-knowing except for the fact that the clocks on the wall were wrong.
Otherwise, all my modern devices adjust the time automatically: cell phone, Fitbit, cable box, Google Home, etc. I might have gone on with my day with the vague impression I got an extra hour of sleep.