Tuesday, October 09, 2012

Fool's Silver

I tried to warn you, buddy, that you were in danger of beclowning yourself unless you re-calibrated your odds, but would you listen?  Noooooo!  After a week of polls universally trending towards Romney, you've boosted his chances to 25%.  Just wow.

Big Journalism: "NYT's Nate Silver exposed as Obama propagandist."
Twitchy: "Nate Silver's model predicts only 25% chance of Romney victory; Twitter predicts 100% of mockery."

On some level, I understand Silver's predicament: you have a readership that is overwhelmingly in favor of your guy.  So you need to break the news - slowly, delicately, in stages - until reality sinks in.

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