Thursday, July 20, 2017

Scratch a liberal, find a tyrant

I just didn't expect that tyrant to be Pol Pot.  Daily Caller: "Bill Nye Says Old People Must Die For Climate Science To Progress."  Sacrifices must be made: you first, Bill.

Not for the faint of heart

The other night, I heard a loud but indistinct sound which seemed to come from the garage.  On initial inspection, however, I didn't see anything wrong like an fallen shovel.  It was only the next day when my wife said she couldn't get the car out of the garage that I noticed the tension spring on the garage door had snapped.  When the torsion (twisting) force is released, there's a huge twang, so that's what the sound was.

Fortunately, there's a garage door supply shop in the next town, so I went and got a replacement.  But replacing the spring means you have to wind it up with these large metal bars.  So imagine the largest spring in your house bring tightened up a couple of inches from your jugular: if this thing snaps, well, you're gonna have a bad time.

Fortunately, with a little help from my son, everything went fine.  Before winding, I spray-painted a line across the coil; after winding, you can see it went through six full revolutions.

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Return to sender in Chappaqua

Fox News: "USPS broke law in allowing workers to boost Clinton campaign, watchdog says"
According to the report, 82 percent of the work took place in 2016 battleground states: Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
So...not much of a boost.

Black Lives Matter defends cop killer

Hot Air: "The Left’s Hero Worship Of Assata Shakur Is Shameful."  More at Twitchy.

We can all laugh about it now

Byron York: "No surprise: On Obamacare, GOP senators don't do what they don't want to do."
The repeal and replace effort did not produce a bill that could pass, but it did produce plenty of dark humor among Republicans.
So we got that going for us...which is nice.

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

The media willingly played along

Hey look at Wikileaks:
"With the help of the research team, we killed a Bloomberg story trying to link HRC's opposition to the Magnitsky bill to a $500,000 speech that WJC gave in Moscow."
And the Hillary-loving media said "sure!"  Fox News: "Hillary Clinton sided with Russia on sanctions as Bill made $500G on Moscow speech."

The truth can be

The ratchet wins

Hot Air: "Collapse: McConnell Gives Up On BCRA — But Not Repeal."

This is a common trope of conservative politics that once the government expands, it never, ever, will contract again.  People get used to their benefits and the costs are abstract: paid by "someone else" or put on the national credit card, which is why we need to have a semi-annual debate on raising the debt limit.

Oh well: the greatest generator of Republican seats is still the law of the land and Obamacare is still in its death spiral.  Let's see what happens when the spinning stops.

Extra - Ben Shapiro is not a fan of the GOP right now.

Sunday, July 16, 2017

Trump is mean to us!

Journalist Gary Abernathy in the WashPost: "The media's martyr complex is embarrassing."  "Trump doesn’t deserve favorable coverage. All he deserves is fair and honest coverage. But even liberals can’t argue with a straight face that he’s wrong about mainstream media bias."

This follows her brave tour of Berkshire County

Twitchy: "Elizabeth Warren (Chief Pays Women Less) fights for the ‘little guy’ at Martha’s Vineyard."  Straight into the lion's den!

Saturday, July 15, 2017

Social Security still not fixed

From the Social Security Trustees report:
In the 2017 Annual Report to Congress, the Trustees announced:
  • The asset reserves of the combined OASDI Trust Funds increased by $35 billion in 2016 to a total of $2.85 trillion.
  • The combined trust fund reserves are still growing and will continue to do so through 2021. Beginning in 2022, the total annual cost of the program is projected to exceed income.
  • The year when the combined trust fund reserves are projected to become depleted, if Congress does not act before then, is 2034 – the same as projected last year. At that time, there will be sufficient income coming in to pay 77 percent of scheduled benefits.
“It is time for the public to engage in the important national conversation about how to keep Social Security strong,” said Nancy A. Berryhill, Acting Commissioner of Social Security. “People understand the value of their earned Social Security benefits and the importance of keeping the program secure for the future.”
Geez, whatever, Debbie Downer.  I'm sure that Americans will be totally fine with receiving three-fourths of their promised benefits.

Thursday, July 13, 2017

No Priuses in the NASCAR race

Twitchy: "Advance team of journalists left literally shaking after scouting run for #HuffPoInTheHeartland tour."

Flip the script

Jonathan Last at Weekly Standard: "Meanwhile, on Earth 2 ... - However you might feel about a given Trump scandal, ask yourself how you'd feel if it was President Hillary Clinton facing the same challenge."

He's absolutely correct that if Chelsea had taken that seat at the G20 we never would have heard the end of it.  I think what Trump Jr. did was stupid and scummy, but I can't join the treason mob mostly because there was no outrage for Hillary's team.

Vowels cost $250

Although it looks like she already bought the "I":

"Text and structure" and unicorn wishes

Federalist: "Chuck Schumer Admits Obama Health Payments Violated The Constitution - The Senate minority leader implicitly admitted the Obama administration violated both the U.S. Constitution and federal criminal statutes by spending funds without an appropriation."

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

The 97% consensus myth, back again

I have a news feed on Google that will flag articles for me.  This morning, it forwarded this article from the Weather Channel: "87 Percent of Americans Unaware There's Scientific Consensus on Climate Change."
Nearly 90 percent of Americans are unaware that there is a consensus within the scientific community that human-caused climate change is real and threatens the planet, a new report says.
Here we go again: you just can't teach these rubes and climate deniers anything.  The Weather Channel article directs you to this IOPScience page and a technical article titled: "Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature."  Here's the first part of the abstract (summary) for this paper:
We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.
So right from the get-go, we find that of all these papers reviewed, two-thirds do not take a position on AGW.  The report focuses on the one-third that do and, among them, we get our magic number of 97% consensus that mankind is warming the Earth.  You'd think a more honest assessment would say that 31.6% (32.6% * 97.1%) of the papers reviewed endorsed AGW, but that's not quite so dramatic as 97%.

Diving deeper into the paper, we further discover that the authors separated the AGW papers into a classification they called "level of endorsement."  These were "explicit endorsement with quantification," "explicit endorsement without quantification" and "implicit endorsement."  "Great!" I thought, since most of the dispute with those on the other side of the debate is that the quantification of mankind's effect on the environment is both difficult to estimate and critical to any kind of discussion regarding mitigation of AGW inputs.  In other words, if anthropogenic effects account for all of the warming, we have to consider the significant trade-offs of minimizing fossil fuels.  But if it only accounts for, say, 10% of observed warming, then we may want to consider whether adaptation to natural climate change is a better course of action.

So then "level of endorsement" is an important metric.  One, apparently, we're not allowed to see:
To simplify the analysis, ratings were consolidated into three groups: endorsements (including implicit and explicit; categories 1–3 in table 2), no position (category 4) and rejections (including implicit and explicit; categories 5–7).
Oh.  So the authors dumped everything into the same bin labeled "endorsements" whether they said "We're all gonna burn!" or "Maybe, I think possibly, man has some minor impact on warming."  One of the "endorsers" in this study was Dr. Roy Spencer, former senior scientist for climate studies at NASA.  In this Senate hearing, he expressed his surprise to be included in the group:

I think most people see through the hysteria of the 97% myth which purposely conflates some minor anthropomorphic contribution and global catastrophe.  Maybe they'd believe the hype when everybody in Washington decides to turn off the air conditioning.  You know, for Mother Earth.

Welcome to the bottom of the trajectory

Conservative Review: "Yes, Obamacare has ‘stabilized’ … like a dead body is stable."
However, in one sense, the Kaiser study has stumbled upon the truth. The insurance market has indeed stabilized … the same way a dead body is “stable” and no longer in critical condition, the same way someone in a free fall has stabilized at the bottom of the trajectory. There is no longer any private sector left in the insurance market. The few remaining insurers have stayed in the market through a guaranteed flow of government subsidies — a regulation-controlled monopoly that has driven out competitors lacking economies of scale and tripled premiums, with endless rate hikes in sight.
This is your new stable reality, America.

Tuesday, July 11, 2017

Revenge of the hillbillies

City Journal: "Can Democrats Make Nice with Deplorables?"  "It’s possible that white working-class voters would back a party filled with people who see them as racists and misogynists, with bad values and worse taste, because they all want to raise taxes on Goldman Sachs executives, but it seems a risky bet."

Seattle's latest experiment

The minimum wage hike made Seattle workers poorer, so let's try another page out of the class warfare playbook.  Hot Air: "Seattle Is Taking The Whole “Eat The Rich” Thing To A New Level."

According to the Hot Air analysis, this tax hike on quarter-millionaires and up is illegal under Washington State's constitution.  But we should welcome these experiments which have worked so well from Maryland to Connecticut to France.  Here in Massachusetts, they're discussing getting rid of the flat tax and New Hampshire is salivating on the border.

Our #1 geopolitical foe

Weekly Standard: "The Trump Administration Has Forfeited the Right to be Trusted on Russia."  Key graf: "You don’t need to think that Trump and his campaign aides colluded with Russia to throw the election to believe that Russian government officials tried to manipulate it. There is no doubt, moreover, that the Kremlin has armed Bashar al-Assad’s regime in a successful bid to establish a client state in the Middle East and undermine American interests there, and that the Russian army has waged war inside the borders of Ukraine, an American ally."

Demographics is destiny

PJ Media: "Where do Japanese babies come from?"  Some of the statistics in this article are stunning and, if trends continue, Japan is going to un-breed itself out of existence.