Last week, I predicted that Slate would update their “Saddameter” above 70% chance for war after a report in the Boston Globe about CIA operatives working in Iraq. They stubbornly refused to see the writing on the wall and instead lowered their odds for war down to 61%. Yesterday, the odds were at 64% as news of the chemical warhead discovery was just coming in. So, Slate, here’s the math: Forward operations in Iraq + massive troop deployments + material breach + defiant Saddam speech = Likelihood of war > 70%