Wednesday, October 16, 2024

This poll goes to eleven

Breitbart: "Poll: More Americans lean Republican than Democrat by 7-point margin."

Headline is a little misleading but it's a seven-point swing in party identity between Republicans and Democrats, now 31%-28%.  What I find more interesting is that Independent learners are 49%-42% Republican-Democrats, which is an eleven-point shift from the last poll a couple weeks ago.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Previous Gallup poll of independents: lean Democratic by 4%
Previous Gallup poll to previous poll: lean Republican by 5%
Previous Gallup poll to previous Gallup poll to previous Gallup poll: lean Democratic by 3%
The leanings before that: Republicans, Republicans, Democrats, Republicans, Democrats, Democrats, Democrats. All from 2024.

Place your bets, the wheel goes round and round, and where she'll stop, nobody knows.

As always, never get too excited or too depressed by just one poll... and especially not a poll with an "now after you!" track record like this one. This poll goes to 11, but Spinal Tap's drummer position was steadier and more durable.