I'm going to have to go and agree w/ DBrooks17 and Wikipedia:
A paid Fordham University analysis ranked Rasmussen Reports as the most accurate national polling firm in Election 2008.[6] The Fordham analysis is a preliminary analysis based on projected vote totals. The final vote margin of victory was 7.2 points compared to the 6.15 used in the Fordham analysis.[6][7]
Reports by Slate Magazine and The Wall Street Journal found that Rasmussen Reports was one of the most accurate polling firms for the 2004 United States presidential election and 2006 United States general elections.[8][9]
Eric, you quit reading that Wikipedia page just one paragraph too soon:
"According to Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com, while there are no apparent records of Scott Rasmussen or Rasmussen Reports making contributions to political candidates and its public election polls are generally regarded as reliable, "some observers have questioned its issue-based polling, which frequently tends to elicit responses that are more conservative than those found on other national surveys."[12]. Rasmussen polling numbers of presidential approval ratings tend to be an outlier among samples taken from other polling organizations.[13] John Marshal of Talking Points Memo has said, "The toplines tend to be a bit toward the Republican side of the spectrum, compared to the average of other polls. But if you factor that in they're pretty reliable."
Let's make a clear distinction between national election polls and issue polls. Rasmussen has a strong record on the "who are you going to vote for next month?"-style survey. They've been less reliable on "what's the most important ____ facing America?" kind.
7 comments:
In light of Roman Polanski returning to the news, the best thing to say is "Forget it, Jake. It's Rasmussen."
Rasmussen's issue poll numbers always skew to the right of Gallup, CNN/NYT, Quinnipiac, PPP, Marist, etc.
"Rasmussen's issue poll numbers always skew to the right of Gallup, CNN/NYT, Quinnipiac, PPP, Marist, etc."
Translation--Rasmussen is accurate.
"Everybody's wrong but me." That pretty much sums up how the right got to where it is today...
I'm going to have to go and agree w/ DBrooks17 and Wikipedia:
A paid Fordham University analysis ranked Rasmussen Reports as the most accurate national polling firm in Election 2008.[6] The Fordham analysis is a preliminary analysis based on projected vote totals. The final vote margin of victory was 7.2 points compared to the 6.15 used in the Fordham analysis.[6][7]
Reports by Slate Magazine and The Wall Street Journal found that Rasmussen Reports was one of the most accurate polling firms for the 2004 United States presidential election and 2006 United States general elections.[8][9]
Slowing the national debt can wait. And so can Afghanistan. And immigration policy. And alternative energy.
But healthcare? It can't wait another day.
Eric, you quit reading that Wikipedia page just one paragraph too soon:
"According to Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com, while there are no apparent records of Scott Rasmussen or Rasmussen Reports making contributions to political candidates and its public election polls are generally regarded as reliable, "some observers have questioned its issue-based polling, which frequently tends to elicit responses that are more conservative than those found on other national surveys."[12]. Rasmussen polling numbers of presidential approval ratings tend to be an outlier among samples taken from other polling organizations.[13]
John Marshal of Talking Points Memo has said, "The toplines tend to be a bit toward the Republican side of the spectrum, compared to the average of other polls. But if you factor that in they're pretty reliable."
Let's make a clear distinction between national election polls and issue polls. Rasmussen has a strong record on the "who are you going to vote for next month?"-style survey. They've been less reliable on "what's the most important ____ facing America?" kind.
Who has time to scroll down to read THAT?
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