Month Biden, Trump August 54%, 41% September 54%, 42% October 51%, 44% November 53%, 43% December 50%, 45% Early January 48%, 46% Late January 49%, 48% Late February 49%, 46% April 47%, 41% May 43%, 43%
Also: all these polls are registered voters, which doesn't (necessarily) mean they're actually going to vote. For likely voters you need to look at voter enthusiasm.
Then mix in the "shy Tory" effect and - voila - Trump wins.
GOP Chairwoman Ronna R-mn-y McDaniel, last August 14: "New @NCCivitas polling in swing-state North Carolina has @realDonaldTrump beating every leading 2020 Democrat!"
Ronna R-mn-y McDaniel, speaking this morning: "I don't really rely on polling this far out."
Now I'm getting concerned. Let me confess that the IBD table was just Fake News that I formatted myself as a gag. I never expected it to go this far...
11 comments:
Investors Business Daily Polling History, Biden/Trump nationwide
Month Biden, Trump
August 54%, 41%
September 54%, 42%
October 51%, 44%
November 53%, 43%
December 50%, 45%
Early January 48%, 46%
Late January 49%, 48%
Late February 49%, 46%
April 47%, 41%
May 43%, 43%
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u79PNGWG9Mo
Somebody still hasn't figured out that people lie to pollsters because they don't want to deal with TDS.
Also: all these polls are registered voters, which doesn't (necessarily) mean they're actually going to vote. For likely voters you need to look at voter enthusiasm.
Then mix in the "shy Tory" effect and - voila - Trump wins.
Did you examine the actual table, VP?
Heh, look at who suddenly sprouts a stiffy for the realness of polls.
All one-state presidential election polls from the past week (April 26 to May 2):
Texas polling:
University of Texas: Biden 43%, Trump 43%
PPP: Biden 47%, Trump 46%
Florida polling:
University of North Florida: Biden 46%, Trump 40%
North Carolina polling:
Meredith: Biden 47%, Trump 40%
Garin-Hart-Yang: Biden 48%, Trump 45%
Survey USA: Biden 50%, Trump 45%
Michigan polling:
PPP: Biden 50%, Trump 42%
Pennsylvania polling:
Harper: Biden 49%, Trump 43%
Georgia polling:
Cygnal: Trump 45%, Biden 44%
Ohio polling:
Baldwin Wallace/Oakland/ONU: Biden 45%, Trump 44%
New Hampshire polling:
St Anselm: Biden 50%, Trump 42%
And just for laughs--
Utah polling: RMG: Trump 51%, Biden 32%
New York polling: Siena: Biden 65%, Trump 29%
Fun Fact: Trump won 8 of those 10 states in 2016.
North Carolina polling:
Meredith: Biden 47%, Trump 40%
Garin-Hart-Yang: Biden 48%, Trump 45%
Survey USA: Biden 50%, Trump 45%
GOP Chairwoman Ronna R-mn-y McDaniel, last August 14:
"New @NCCivitas polling in swing-state North Carolina has @realDonaldTrump beating every leading 2020 Democrat!"
Ronna R-mn-y McDaniel, speaking this morning:
"I don't really rely on polling this far out."
My goodness, that simple little IBD poll table seems to have stirred up a frantic flurry of activity in the pollmonger.
Have you made the angst and insecurity go away yet?
"This table of Investors Business Daily's Nationwide Polling History of Biden/Trump results will save us!"
Trump's own campaign manager told Trump that he's losing, but you know better.
Here's what you can do to help. Call your Senator, and ask that Utah's electoral vote total be boosted from 6 to 88.
Now I'm getting concerned. Let me confess that the IBD table was just Fake News that I formatted myself as a gag. I never expected it to go this far...
No, I didn't look at your table.
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