Tuesday, October 09, 2018

Going from "meh" to MAGA

Federalist: "I Was A Never Trumper Until Democrats Went Gonzo On Kavanaugh. Now, Hand Me That Red Hat - As a voter who recognizes the unfortunate realities of our politics, I believe supporting Trump has become the responsible choice."

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

If Charlie Cook of the Cook Report is right, they're going to need a lot more hats.

"I expect net gains for Democrats in governorships of between six and a dozen, and a pickup for Democrats of between 400 and 650 state legislative seats, more than the average midterm loss of 375 seats for the party in the White House. These state elections are the most under-reported story in politics, with control of chambers likely tipping from Republicans to Democrats. Three-quarters of the governorships and four-fifths of the state legislative seats are up in these midterm cycles. Remember that with the inability or unwillingness of Washington to deal with so many problems, the resulting vacuum has given states considerably more power on many fronts. Then consider the massive gains on the state level for Republicans during the eight years of the Obama presidency, and how much of that ground could slip away."

Eric2 said...

Charlie Cook, circa 2016: "Won’t put specific percentage on Clinton’s chances of winning, but says "it’s a really big number"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-08/clinton-win-democratic-senate-seen-by-analyst-charlie-cook

Poor Democrats: their victories are always in the hypothetical future.

Roger Bournival said...

How'd the pollsters do predicting Brexit & Trump's win? Poorly, that's how.

Anonymous said...

So... you DON'T expect the Democrats to pick up 15 to 50 House seats, 8 or 10 governorships, and hundreds and hundreds of state seats, while the GOP squanders the most advantageous Senate map for either party since direct elections began in 1904?

I know it's been fun saying "we control the most seats since the 1920s/Henry Clay/the Mesolithic Era," but you've gotta learn to let go.