OK, so I watched a movie until 10pm because I was sure it was going to be a good night for Clinton.
But I was wrong: at this writing of 10:30pm, the NY Times dashboard is showing over 80% likelihood of a Trump victory with 290+ electoral votes. The 538 blog has just tipped to 55% likely Trump win.
Dow futures are down over 600 points.
At this point, this has all the benchmarks of Britain's "Brexit" vote in the sense that nobody saw it coming.