Thursday, October 14, 2004

Quick debate analyses

The abridged third debate on Protein Wisdom
PoliPundit: “In keeping with my track record of eerily-accurate five-minute analyses, I’m saying that President Bush has won this election.”
PoliBlog: “Bush won tonight”
Instapundit: “As I've said before, my judgment is suspect, but I think Bush wins this one hands down -- if anyone was still watching at the end.”
Dodd: “Bush all the way”
Erick Erickson: “Bush was the clear winner tonight. He was optimistic, hopeful, full of energy, funny, and articulate.”


Patrick said...

The way you can fearlessly report it was a big win for Bush is that there is no polling posted on Yahoo or by AP or Reuters. No snap poll results. The only thing you can find is "tie", like on ABC, which means it was a Kerry loss.

Anonymous said...

Thursday, October 14, 2004 Posted: 8:09 AM EDT (1209 GMT)

TEMPE, Arizona (CNN) -- Sen. John Kerry appeared to gain more momentum heading toward November 2, easily beating President Bush in the third and final debate, a poll taken late Wednesday night suggests.

A CNN/USA Today/Gallup snap poll taken immediately after the presidential debate found that respondents gave a significant edge to Kerry over Bush, 52 percent to 39 percent.

The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

The numbers were similar to the results of a poll taken the night of the first debate September 30 in Miami, Florida. That night Kerry was favored by a 53 percent to 37 percent margin.

Kerry and Bush were almost even in the second debate on October 5, with the numbers falling within the margin of error.

Paddy Casey said...

Kerry Won Debate in CBS, CNN Polls; ABC News Find Tie (Correct)

(Corrects misspelled word in eighth paragraph of story published Oct. 13.)

By Jay Newton-Small

Oct. 13 (Bloomberg) -- John Kerry, the four-term senator from Massachusetts, won the third and final debate against President George W. Bush, polls by CBS and CNN found. An ABC News survey found the candidates in a statistical tie.

CBS said its poll of uncommitted voters found 39 percent said Kerry performed better, 25 percent picked Bush and 36 percent called the results a tie. CNN said Kerry won by 52 percent to 39 percent. The poll for CNN and USA Today by the Gallup Organization surveyed 511 registered voters and had a 5 percentage point margin for error.

In the ABC poll of 566 voters, 42 percent picked Kerry as the winner, 41 percent chose Bush and 14 percent said they tied, results within the error margin of 4.5 percentage points. The network said 38 percent of its respondents were Republican, 30 percent were Democrats and 28 percent were independent