What the? Remember when I said "no way Kerry is leading in Iowa"? Zogby begs to differ: Kerry opens up a five-point lead in Iowa. Kerry is at 24% in the tracking poll, with Dean and Gephardt tied at 19%.

With the sky-high expectations of the Dean candidacy on the line, a second (or third!) place finish in Iowa could be disastrous for Howard.

Update: Nick at Duck Season justifiably chastises me....