Monday, January 07, 2008

New Hampshire predictions

Well, it's time. I'm going to work from the predicate that, just like Iowa, independent voters are going to break heavily for the Democrats and for Obama in particular. This is going to shave John McCain's margin of victory considerably such that Romney - who has more GOP support - will finish very close behind. Meanwhile, Obama has all the energy and I think New Hampshire voters will actually turn out to vote for him. He'll easily pull in 40% of the vote.

Obama - 42%
Clinton - 28%
Edwards - 18%

McCain - 32%
Romney - 30%
Huckabee - 15%

Scott at Election Projection also has his learned predictions. Let the fun begin.

Extra - More guesses at OTB.

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