Wednesday, March 13, 2024

The post-SOTU polls are in

Newsweek: "Joe Biden's Approval Rating Falls to All-Time Low After SOTU."


I don't understand. Didn't America see the fiery vigor from Old Yeller?


1 comment:

Anonymous said...

NO! Not really?

Since 1989:

Bush 1991 got a post-State of the Union bump.

Clinton 1998 also got a SOTU bump.

Obama 2014 also got a bump.

And... that's it. 3 out of the last 26. There were no other significant rises.

As for Trump and Biden? If your mother was in a coma, and her isoelectric EKG monitor line looked like one of their approval rating trajectories following a State of the Union speech? You'd pull the plug.

Since 1989, the average presidential approval bump a week after a State of the Union has been one-half of one percentage point.

Political scholars call this The Half-Point Honeymoon.

A month after the last 26 speeches, the average presidential approval had gone up by zero points.