Wednesday, October 13, 2004

Red sky at night, sailor’s delight

My head is starting to spin with all these new polls coming out. People love Bush and hate Kerry! People hate Bush and…well, nobody loves Kerry. Here’s a review of the non-conventional predictors of the Presidential race:

Family Circle Cookie Cookoff, correct in every election since 1988: Laura Bush wins!

Halloween mask sales – correct since 1980: Bush leads 53%-47%

Scholastics school kids poll, wrong only twice since 1940 – Bush (barely) leads

7-11 coffee cup poll: Bush (barely) leads

Iowa Electronics Market – stabilized over the past couple days around 55% for Bush and 45% for Kerry

Tradesports Political Market – Running around 57%-42% in Bush’s favor.

Now we need the Washington Redskins to win on Halloween:

Hard to believe that a bunch of sweaty guys in jockstraps and cleats could determine the results of the presidential sweepstakes, but this one's the gold standard: Ever since the Redskins moved to D.C. in 1937, the outcome of their last home game before Election Day has predicted the winner, says Steve Hirdt, executive vice president of the Elias Sports Bureau, who discovered this bit of esoterica.
"When the 'Skins have won the last game prior to the election, the incumbent party retained its hold on the White House. When they lost, the party out of power has won the presidency."
The Skins are playing at home against Green Bay on Oct. 31st. Trick or treat?

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

This year it appears that the Vienna Boys Choir could beat the Packers. I guess that's good for your theory, but their aa lot of sad Packer fans who may be too depressed to vote.