Wednesday, May 21, 2003

American Idol prediction


Clay Aiken will win.

Here’s why: Ruben is a great singer, but his vocal style seems permanently stuck on “Luther Vandross.” When he strays too far from Motown, it seems like he’s reaching. Also, I hope he doesn’t win for his own health. Have you seen this guy after a two-minute performance? He looks like he’s been performing underwater, he’s so covered with sweat. What’s Ruben going to do once he has to start singing the National Anthem at baseball parks? Better keep the crash cart handy.

In terms of talent, Clay is equal to Ruben. But Clay has a little more showmanship and knows how to use his whole range. Last night’s performance of “Bridge over Troubled Water” was inspired and Simon was right to say that it may win him the competition.

A little history: in last year’s American Idol, runner-up Justin was named as one of the bottom two vote-getters in one of the elimination shows. Kelly Clarkson never was in the bottom two. This year, Ruben was in the same situation, while Clay never had to stand and wait (endlessly) for the final verdict. This indicates that Ruben’s support may be a little soft.

Both of them are going to do very well – probably better than Clarkson – in their post-AI careers. There are no losers on the stage tonight (well, except for the insufferable Ryan Seacrest). But I’m putting my chips on Clay.

Well, how about it Dean? Vincent? (This was posted at 8:15 EST - just as the 2 hour drag-out is starting. I'll be tuning in at 9:50 p.m.)

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