Chris Christie gets the checkmark - New Jersey's largest newspaper, the Star-Ledger,
declares a Republican win in the Garden State. Wow, and it wasn't even close: with 81% of the vote in, Christie still holds onto a 5% lead. Everybody thought this was going until morning.
Not sure this result was worth a "wow." Most polling favored Christie, and Republicans have won 5 of the last 8 Governor races in New Jersey.
ReplyDeleteThe NY-23 seat, "in the bag" yesterday, is where the night's only predictive tea leaves might be brewing. It has flipped to the Democratic column for the first time since 1872.
That's the year Calvin Coolidge was born.
Incumbent governor, with a 3:1 funding advantage and with a messianic "popular" president, in a deep Democratic state controlled like a mafia domain by corrupt Dem unions and corrupt Dem courts, loses to a fat slug with no money.
ReplyDeleteNothing to see here, folks, move along.
Now the question is can Christie undo the damage which has been done in New Jersey, like lowering the taxes and turning the laws of the state pro-gun.
ReplyDeleteI am not impressed by this win. Only 5 points? If Corzine was so unpopular, why wasn't it a 30-point landslide? Because it wasn't, it goes to show that Obama brought 25 points to Corzine through the sheer force of his charisma and popularity. Obama saved Corzine from an embarrassment. All praise Obama!
ReplyDeleteGovernor races rarely have any relevant correlation to the Presidential/Congressional electoral landscape. We all understand this, right? It's one reason why Governors, billed as being "outside of Washington," have traditionally done well in getting Presidential nominations.
ReplyDeleteNaturally, Republicans are pleased when Republicans win. They should be. But to whoop it up over an unremarkable result in a state that has so frequently gone GOP? To pretend that it's a huge blow to Obama? Or that it's the Fort Sumter shot that signals an imminent Republican comeback? If it were me, I'd try to avoid giving off that "beggars can't be choosers" scent.
Hypothetical question. As it specifically relates to 2010 and 2012, would you trade the state houses in New Jersey and Virginia for the special election wins in NY-23 and IL-14 and LA-6 and MS-1? I sure would, in a heartbeat.
Specifically, which were the Democratic gubernatorial victories in 2005 that set up the next two rounds of national elections?
ReplyDeleteEven one actual example from 2005 would be encouraging...
ReplyDeleteOne case in point? Anybody? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller?
ReplyDeleteWay to man that killer post all night long, Jeremy!
ReplyDeleteYour inability to answer the question is duly noted.
ReplyDeleteDemocrats won both statehouses in 2005: Kaine in VA, Corzine in NJ.
ReplyDeleteCorzine succeeded another Democrat, Jim McGreevey.
ReplyDeleteKaine succeeded another Democrat, Mark Warner.
Anybody feel like speculating that the momentum of Christie and McDonnell's wins will pay off as huge for the Republicans in 2010-2012 as McGreevey and Warner's wins did for the Dems in 2002-2004?
I thought not.
ReplyDelete